The Meb Faber Show
The Meb Faber Show
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Meb Faber
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Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs - Why ESG May Make This Commodity Supercycle Different From Past Cycles | #445

E445 • Sep 27, 2022 • 45 mins

Today’s guest is Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs’ global head of Commodities Research. In today’s episode, Jeff shares why he called for a commodity supercycle almost two years ago and where we are within that cycle today. He touches on the underinvestment in supply, why ESG makes this cycle different from past cycles, and why the risk of a policy error could exacerbate the problems we have in the commodity markets today. Be sure to stick around to hear Jeff’s price target for oil and a surprising call on the European energy markets.

Key Points

  • Jeff Curry of Goldman Sachs predicts a bullish structural outlook for commodities due to policy decisions that favor lower-income groups, leading to increased volumetric demand and reinforcing the cycle of inflation.
  • Supply shortages in commodities are intensifying, with underinvestment and ESG considerations complicating capital infusion into the old economy sectors like oil, refineries, and mining.
  • Aluminum presents a unique investment opportunity due to the climate paradox, where it's essential for decarbonization efforts but its production is energy-intensive, leading to potential shortages amid the energy crisis.
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